World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 6, 2021 at 2pm UK
Uganda0 - 0Mali
Jjuko (34'), Arnold Okwi (64')
Jjuko (64')
FT
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Mali had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Mali win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Mali |
| 38.37% | 25.67% | 35.96% |
| Both teams to score 55.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
