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World Cup
United Arab Emirates national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Al-Nahyan Stadium
Yemen national football team

UAE
2 - 1
Yemen

Saleh (24' pen.), Adill Alamiri (72')
Jamil (16'), Hashemi (29'), Rashid (45'), Alhammadi (59'), Abaelaziz (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Idrees (69' og.)
Al-Zubaidi (5'), Ould Ali (6'), Mohammed Sabah (51'), Al-Gahwashi (90+4'), Anbar (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Yemen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tajikistan 1-1 UAE (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, January 28 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Yemen

Last Game: Nepal 0-2 Yemen
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: United Arab Emirates 2-0 Yemen

 This should be another comfortable victory for UAE, who will be disappointed if they can not continue their run of clean sheets, let alone wins. Yemen are no pushovers but they are unlikely to carry enough offensive threat to hurt UAE in key moments, so we are predicting a 2-0 victory for the hosts, who would take a giant step towards the third round of qualifying in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawYemen
62.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 22.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 15.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.96% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)50.12% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.09% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)15.64% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)44.65% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Yemen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.66% (-0.012 -0.01)44.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)80.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 62.03%
    Yemen 15.89%
    Draw 22.07%
United Arab EmiratesDrawYemen
1-0 @ 12.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 62.03%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 15.89%

How you voted: UAE vs Yemen

United Arab Emirates
91.3%
Draw
4.3%
Yemen
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2018 2.25pm
International Friendlies
UAE
2-0
Yemen
Rashid (20'), Salmeen (66')
rhs 2.0
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