![Japan national football team Japan national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/japlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Jan 27, 2022 at 10.01am UK
![China national football team China national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/chilog_2.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Japan2 - 0China
We said: Japan 2-1 China
Even without several crucial defenders, Japan boast the stronger of the two squads, and, with the added motivation of staying in the top two, we fancy them to get over the line with home advantage. The Samurai Blue's front three are bound to cause problems for their visitors and Ito, Osako and Minamino should fire their nation to another qualifying win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for China had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest China win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result | ||
Japan | Draw | China |
42.19% | 25.25% | 32.55% |
Both teams to score 56.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.46% | 47.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.25% | 69.74% |
Japan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.54% | 22.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44% | 55.99% |
China Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% | 27.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.66% | 63.33% |
Score Analysis |
Japan 42.19%
China 32.55%
Draw 25.25%
Japan | Draw | China |
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.55% |
How you voted: Japan vs China
Japan
73.5%Draw
10.3%China
16.2%68
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 4pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-04 22:23:51
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Netherlands
vs.
Turkey
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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