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World Cup
Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Jan 27, 2022 at 10.01am UK
 
China national football team

Japan
2 - 0
China

Osako (13' pen.), Ito (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lei (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Japan 2-1 China

 Even without several crucial defenders, Japan boast the stronger of the two squads, and, with the added motivation of staying in the top two, we fancy them to get over the line with home advantage. The Samurai Blue's front three are bound to cause problems for their visitors and Ito, Osako and Minamino should fire their nation to another qualifying win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for China had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest China win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawChina
42.19%25.25%32.55%
Both teams to score 56.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46%47.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25%69.74%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44%55.99%
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24%27.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66%63.33%
Score Analysis
    Japan 42.19%
    China 32.55%
    Draw 25.25%
JapanDrawChina
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Japan vs China

Japan
73.5%
Draw
10.3%
China
16.2%
68
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 4pm
Third Round
China
0-1
Japan

Xi (67'), Aloisio (69'), Wang (81')
Osako (40')
Ito (57')
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