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NAC Breda
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg
May 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Emmen

NAC Breda
1 - 1
Emmen

Haugen (38')
Van den Bergh (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Besuijen (82' pen.)
Ubbink (30'), Dirksen (62'), Bernadou (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between NAC Breda and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roda JC 0-5 NAC Breda
Friday, May 17 at 7.10pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-1 Emmen
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: NAC Breda 3-1 Emmen

Although Emmen have the recent experience of participating in the top flight, that may matter little given that NAC scored eight times in the quarter-finals. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to come through in relatively convincing fashion, setting themselves up for the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NAC BredaDrawEmmen
41.08% (-0.196 -0.2) 24.28% (-0.287 -0.29) 34.64% (0.487 0.49)
Both teams to score 60.05% (1.162 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (1.464 1.46)42.55% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (1.443 1.44)64.95% (-1.437 -1.44)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (0.53500000000001 0.54)20.85% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.828 0.83)53.53% (-0.825 -0.83)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.965 0.97)24.13% (-0.96 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (1.353 1.35)58.43% (-1.348 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 41.08%
    Emmen 34.64%
    Draw 24.27%
NAC BredaDrawEmmen
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.388 -0.39)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.148 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.265 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs Emmen

NAC Breda
81.8%
Draw
7.3%
Emmen
10.9%
55
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Emmen
2-3
NAC Breda
Vlak (7', 38')
Garbett (61'), Mar Omarsson (72'), Koscelnik (77')
Garbett (38'), Mar Omarsson (89')
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
NAC Breda
1-3
Emmen
Hardeveld (3' og.)
Vlak (14'), Konings (58'), Mendes (80')
Dirksen (34'), Vos (54'), Heylen (55')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
May 31, 2023 5.45pm
Second Round 1st Leg
NAC Breda
1-2
Emmen
Omgba (90+4')
Garbett (36')
Burnet (24'), Romeny (39')
Zivkovic (86'), Diemers (90+5')
Jan 22, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Emmen
2-0
NAC Breda
Vlak (32'), Kharchouch (33')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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