Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.