Heerenveen

5 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.