Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.