Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.