Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest HIFK Fotboll win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.