Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Oulu win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.