Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for TPS had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest TPS win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.