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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Oct 30, 2022 at 4am UK
Coopers Stadium
Perth Glory

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Goodwin (18'), Ibusuki (22')
Warland (26'), Sanchez (44'), Popovic (68'), Juande (69'), Kitto (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Colli (32')
Bodnar (69')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 23 at 5am in Australian A-League

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 23 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
59.67% (0.427 0.43) 22.21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 18.12% (-0.434 -0.43)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91% (-0.687 -0.69)47.09% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (-0.643 -0.64)69.32% (0.643 0.64)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)15.39% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (-0.172 -0.17)44.18% (0.171 0.17)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.898 -0.9)39.76% (0.898 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.837 -0.84)76.43% (0.836 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 59.66%
    Perth Glory 18.12%
    Draw 22.21%
Adelaide UnitedDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.12%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 8.05am
Adelaide United
2-0
Perth Glory
Oliveira (24'), Irankunda (90+4')
Brook (45')
Mar 6, 2022 8.05am
Perth Glory
1-2
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (90' pen.)
Fornaroli (28')
Ibusuki (45+1'), Toure (59')
Barr (28'), Tratt (54'), Ibusuki (69')
Nov 20, 2021 11.05am
Perth Glory
1-1
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (40')
Stynes (79'), Ota (90+5')
Yengi (22')
Sanchez (79')
May 19, 2021 12.20pm
Perth Glory
2-1
Adelaide United
Fornaroli (78'), Ikonomidis (86')
Chianese (83')
Yengi (28')
Juande (71'), D'Arrigo (80')
Feb 5, 2021 8.05am
Adelaide United
1-2
Perth Glory
Mauk (20')
Elsey (4'), Abetew (39')
Fornaroli (73'), Timotheou (83' og.)
Aspropotamitis (29'), Sullivan (51'), Velaphi (90+4')
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