Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.