Al-Hilal

3 - 1

Istiqlol Dushanbe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.