We say: Lazio 2-1 Udinese
In fine form and posing a real threat up front, Udinese will not be beaten easily by a Lazio side that has one eye on Europe.
Yet, the hosts have scored more goals in the last 15 minutes of play of any Serie A team this season - no fewer than 18 - so another late winner cannot be counted out.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw has a probability of 23.5% and a win for Udinese has a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Udinese win it is 0-1 (6.42%).
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