Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave
We said: Famalicao 2-0 Rio Ave
Having ended their home struggles with a win over Moreirense, Famalicao will be eager to build on that result, especially against a Rio side that has faltered on the road, making a triumph for the hosts the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
42.18% ( 0.49) | 28.79% ( -0.15) | 29.03% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 43.97% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.77% ( 0.38) | 62.23% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.09% ( 0.28) | 81.91% ( -0.28) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.46) | 29.17% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.56) | 65.11% ( -0.56) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( -0.06) | 37.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.3% ( -0.06) | 74.69% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.02% |
