Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Melbourne City had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Melbourne City win it was 0-1 (7.36%).