MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:40:45| >> :60:1378:1378:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 3pm UK
Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion

Pakhtakor
3 - 0
Ahal

Erkinov (23'), Turgunboev (27', 59')
Kholmatov (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tagayew (21'), Tursunov (31'), Ravshanow (62')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Pakhtakor Tashkent and Ahal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pakhtakor Tashkent

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al Fayha 2-0 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, October 3 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ahal

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Ain 4-2 Ahal
Tuesday, October 3 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Ahal win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pakhtakor Tashkent would win this match.

Result
Pakhtakor TashkentDrawAhal
69.42% (0.031000000000006 0.03) 18.92% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 11.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.92% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.22% (0.012 0.01)
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)12.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (0.014000000000003 0.01)37.61% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Ahal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.8% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)48.2% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.62% (-0.032 -0.03)83.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 69.41%
    Ahal 11.66%
    Draw 18.92%
Pakhtakor TashkentDrawAhal
2-0 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 9.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.84% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69.41%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.92%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.66%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!