MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:29:14| >> :60:687:687:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 12pm UK
Shanghai Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
1 - 0
Kawasaki

Takai (76' og.)
Yennaris (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marcinho (43'), Sasaki (90+3')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shanghai Shenhua

All competitions
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, March 1 at 11.35am in Chinese Super League

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, March 1 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawKawasaki Frontale
42.13% (0.29499999999999 0.29) 24.38% (0.02 0.02) 33.49% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.35% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.168 -0.17)43.33% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (-0.168 -0.17)65.73% (0.172 0.17)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.063999999999993 0.06)20.7% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (0.097000000000001 0.1)53.3% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)25.16% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.363 -0.36)59.88% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 42.13%
    Kawasaki Frontale 33.49%
    Draw 24.38%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.49%

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