Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gwangju had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Gwangju win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.