Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Uganda2 - 0Congo
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Uganda
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-0 South Sudan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Uganda 1-0 Congo
Buoyed by their narrow victory last time out, Congo will undoubtedly be feeling better about themselves heading into this one, but we can see them coming away empty-handed, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.
Result | ||
Uganda | Draw | Congo |
27.61% ( -0.44) | 28.89% ( -0.09) | 43.49% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 42.99% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.91% ( 0.1) | 63.09% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.47% ( 0.07) | 82.53% ( -0.07) |
Uganda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.43% ( -0.32) | 39.56% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.75% ( -0.29) | 76.25% ( 0.29) |
Congo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( 0.34) | 28.87% ( -0.34) |