Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Gambia 2-2 Congo
Sunday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Zambia 2-0 Congo
Zambia will be licking their lips as they go up against a Congo side who have managed just one win in six since the turn of the year. The Chipolopolo have been rock-solid on home soil over the last two years and we fancy them to claim a comfortable opening-day victory on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Congo |
50.39% ( 0.71) | 25.86% ( 0.15) | 23.75% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( -1.23) | 55.04% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% ( -1.02) | 76.31% ( 1.02) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -0.2) | 21.89% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.86% ( -0.31) | 55.14% ( 0.31) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( -1.46) | 38.48% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.77% ( -1.42) | 75.23% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
Zambia 50.38%
Congo 23.75%
Draw 25.86%
| Zambia | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.38% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.75% |
How you voted: Zambia vs Congo
Zambia
79.4%Draw
11.8%Congo
8.8%34
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 1pm
