MX23RW : Friday, January 17 16:19:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
2 - 1
Deportivo Riestra

Fernandez (66'), Jara (72')
Jara (12'), Troilo (57'), Longo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herrera (69')
Monje (22'), Celiz (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Deportivo Riestra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Belgrano
Thursday, June 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 River Plate
Thursday, June 13 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Belgrano 2-1 Deportivo Riestra

While neither of these sides have set the league alight this season, Belgrano have looked better in the second phase and were unbeaten in their last three matches ahead of the international break. This should be a fairly even contest but we fancy the hosts to claim the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belgrano in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Belgrano.

Result
BelgranoDrawDeportivo Riestra
58.99% (0.2 0.2) 24.76% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 16.25% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 40.48% (-0.316 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.72% (-0.221 -0.22)59.28% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31% (-0.171 -0.17)79.69% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (-0.012 -0.01)20.07% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)52.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.65% (-0.388 -0.39)49.34% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.8% (-0.274 -0.27)84.2% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 58.99%
    Deportivo Riestra 16.25%
    Draw 24.75%
BelgranoDrawDeportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 15.9% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.99%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.25%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Deportivo Riestra

Belgrano
73.9%
Draw
13.0%
Deportivo Riestra
13.0%
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