MX23RW : Saturday, July 20 01:04:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Heredia (67')
Baldi (11'), Cruz Real (13'), Chavarria (16'), Losada (83')
Chavarria (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Godoy (7'), Gamarra (74'), Vega (79'), Heredia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Belgrano
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Belgrano 1-1 Argentinos Juniors

Saturday's game could be close to call with Belgrano no longer distracted by continental games for a while, even if the same applies to Argentinos, who have endured a disappointing road form. The outcome could be contingent on which team adapts quicker following midweek Sudamericana exertions, and that uncertainty means we err on the side of caution by going for a tie in the round four fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
40.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)59.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87% (0.014999999999997 0.01)80.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)64.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.012 0.01)34.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.012 0.01)71.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 40.5%
    Argentinos Juniors 31.22%
    Draw 28.27%
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs

Belgrano
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Argentinos Juniors
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 4
Argentinos Jrs
3-0
Belgrano
Gonzalez (4'), Gabriel Montiel (52'), Avalos (72')
Feb 2, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 17
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Belgrano
Hauche (22'), Mac Allister (83'), Torren (93')
Gudino (25'), Meli (79')
Herrera (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1TalleresTalleres5410114713
2HuracanHuracan541082613
3Instituto6411105513
4UnionUnion541072513
5BelgranoBelgrano63211010011
6Racing ClubRacing5311126610
7GimnasiaGimnasia6312106410
8Independiente Rivadavia631242210
9River PlateRiver Plate53029459
10Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB630345-19
11Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs630369-39
12LanusLanus52216518
13Boca Juniors52125417
14Sarmiento52125417
15EstudiantesEstudiantes52125507
16Rosario CentralRosario51317616
17Atletico TucumanTucuman513145-16
18IndependienteIndependiente613258-36
19Deportivo Riestra620447-36
20Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield512246-25
21Platense512235-25
22TigreTigre6123510-55
23BanfieldBanfield511347-34
24Barracas Central611438-54
25Defensa y JusticiaDefensa503236-33
26San Lorenzo401325-31
27Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz403123-10
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba5005615-90
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0


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