We said: Colon 1-2 River Plate
Colon might be undefeated at home so far in the second phase, but that is a run that will face its biggest test yet against the league leaders.
The visitors dominated the first phase of the competition by finishing in the top spot, and it is likely River Plate will take another three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Colon had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.