Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2025 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 2 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 2 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Gimnasia
Monday, February 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, February 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Independiente |
59.43% ( -0.27) | 22.97% ( -0.04) | 17.61% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
