MX23RW : Thursday, June 20 21:22:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 27, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Avalos (63')
Laso (48'), Romero (68'), Lopez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aquino (32' pen.)
Fernandez (55'), Ordonez (62'), Canelo (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Velez Sarsfield

While Independiente have been the dominant side in this fixture in recent seasons, they head into this match in poor form and without a recognised manager on the sidelines. Velez Sarsfield ground out a very good result against Newell's Old Boys last week, and we feel they will do the same in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawVelez Sarsfield
40.52% (-0.465 -0.46) 30.37% (-0.055 -0.05) 29.11% (0.521 0.52)
Both teams to score 40.09% (0.339 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33% (0.303 0.3)66.99% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.74% (0.205 0.21)85.26% (-0.203 -0.2)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)32.56% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.136 -0.14)69.09% (0.136 0.14)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.45% (0.608 0.61)40.55% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (0.545 0.55)77.15% (-0.544 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 40.52%
    Velez Sarsfield 29.11%
    Draw 30.36%
IndependienteDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 14.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 13.2% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.39% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.36%
0-1 @ 11.91% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 12.30am
Aug 27, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 2
Independiente
2-1
Velez Sarsfield
Gimenez Rojas (51', 90+5' pen.)
Baez (19'), Laso (87'), Marcone (90+13'), Rey (90+13')
Castro (83')
Romero (13'), Gianetti (56'), Gomez (89'), Osorio (90+8')
Mendez (14')
Feb 12, 2023 12.30am
Aug 28, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Independiente
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Sonora (12')
Elizalde (30')
Pratto (90')
Fernandez (13'), Brizuela (85')
Feb 20, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Independiente
Ortega (45+4'), Caseres (59'), Fernandez (90+5')
de los Santos (40')
Fernandez (45+4'), Togni (90+1')
Laso (64')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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