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Sporting Lisbon
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Dortmund logo

Sporting Lisbon
vs.
Dortmund

Preview: Sporting Lisbon vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Still winless in the Champions League since the departure of Ruben Amorim, Sporting Lisbon welcome Borussia Dortmund to the Estadio Jose Alvalade for Tuesday's playoff first leg.

Four places and 13 points separated the two clubs in the league phase table, as BVB came within a whisker of a top-eight finish while their hosts only just kept their continental adventure going.


Match preview

Sporting Lisbon manager Rui Borges during his side's match against Benfica, on December 29, 2024© Imago

As erstwhile manager Amorim struggles to turn Manchester United's fortunes around, Sporting have also seen their powers fade since the exit of the 40-year-old, who was seemingly the glue that held everything together at the Estadio Jose Alvalade.

After taking 10 points from their opening four Champions League matches to enter the top-eight conversation, Sporting failed to triumph in any of their last four games in the opening phase; none of the 24 teams to have advanced to the knockouts are on a longer winless run.

Arsenal, Club Brugge and RB Leipzig all condemned Sporting to defeat in that time, but a 1-1 draw with Bologna on matchday eight - where 19-year-old Danish forward Conrad Harder was the hero with a second-half equaliser - sent the Portuguese giants through to the playoffs on goal difference.

New boss Rui Borges has been able to steady the ship slightly, though, and Sporting were mere moments away from a hard-fought win over Primeira Liga rivals Porto in Friday's blockbuster clash, only for the Dragons to equalise in the fourth minute of second-half injury time.

Reeling from that gut-wrenching stalemate - where they also finished the game with nine men - Sporting now make a welcome return to their Alvalade headquarters, where they are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all tournaments and have only dropped points against Bologna in that time.

New Borussia Dortmund manager Niko Kovac during a press conference as boss, on February 4, 2025© Imago

Also adjusting to life with a new face at the helm, Borussia Dortmund were under the wing of Nuri Sahin's temporary successor - Mike Tullberg - for their most recent Champions League contest, where Serhou Guirassy was at the double in a 3-1 success over Shakhtar Donetsk.

With five wins and three losses on their record from the league phase, Dortmund pipped 2023-24 final foes Real Madrid to a top-10 finish in the league phase, although it was the top eight positions that last season's beaten finalists had their sights set on.

Since last taking to the field in Europe, BVB have welcomed ex-Bayern Munich boss Niko Kovac into the dugout, but his reign got off to the worst possible start; Dortmund suffered a 2-1 home loss to Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday, their fifth defeat from eight in all tournaments.

Languishing in the bottom half of the German top-flight table, Dortmund have their lack of defensive discipline to blame for their predicament, as Saturday's loss to Stuttgart made it 13 games without a clean sheet across all competitions since easing past Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 in November.

On the other side of the coin, 22 goals scored in the UCL league phase was the second-best attacking record behind Barcelona's 28, offering an out-of-sorts Dortmund a sliver of hope as they aim to avenge their 3-1 loss to Sporting from their last head-to-head in November 2021.

Sporting Lisbon Champions League form:


Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions):


Borussia Dortmund Champions League form:


Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions):


Team News

Chelsea midfielder Carney Chukwuemeka in September 2024.© Imago

Sporting's stalemate with Bologna on the final league phase matchday saw Morten Hjulmand pick up his third yellow card of the tournament, and as bookings are not wiped until the quarter-finals, the Dane must serve a suspension this week.

Hjulmand joins Pedro Goncalves (muscle), Joao Simoes (unspecified) and Nuno Santos (ACL) on the Sporting sidelines for Tuesday's first leg, but even though Matheus Reis and Ousmane Diomande both saw red against Porto, they are fine to feature in the Champions League.

The teenage Harder also started up front on Friday evening following a thigh injury to Viktor Gyokeres, but the hosts' Swedish sensation should be drafted back into the starting lineup on Tuesday, where he seeks to build on an astounding record of 34 goals from as many matches this season.

Meanwhile, Dortmund's deadline-day signing Carney Chukwuemeka was unable to make his debut for the German giants against Stuttgart after suffering a knock to the knee in training, and his availability for Tuesday's first leg is also up in the air.

However, the Chelsea loanee is just one of two fitness concerns for the visitors, who are also missing Felix Nmecha (knee) for another few weeks but otherwise have a clean bill of health.

Matching Robert Lewandowski with a tournament-high nine goals in the league phase, Guirassy could now join the Pole and Erling Haaland as just the third Dortmund player to score as many as 10 goals in one Champions League season; no BVB player has ever managed 11 in a single campaign.


Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Israel; Fresneda, Diomande, Inacio, Araujo; Braganca, Debast, Morita; Trincao, Gyokeres, Quenda

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Ryerson, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini; Sabitzer, Gross; Adeyemi, Brandt, Gittens; Guirassy


SM words green background

We say: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

With both sides still adapting to recent managerial changes and struggling to string a consistent run together, Tuesday's first leg has a draw written all over it.

Kovac cannot fix Dortmund's leaky defence overnight, but Gyokeres may not be firing on all cylinders after his recent injury, so we cannot see either side claiming an advantage before the return fixture.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


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Written by
Ben Knapton

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Data Failed

Who will win Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Dortmund?

Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
Sporting Lisbon
69.6%
Draw
13.0%
Borussia Dortmund
17.4%
46
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Sporting Lisbon's Geovany Quenda and Viktor Gyokeres on September 22, 2024
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QLiverpool870121
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QB. Leverkusen851216
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9Real Madrid850315
10AC Milan850315
11Atalanta843115
12Dortmund850315
13Bayern850315
14PSV842214
15Benfica841313
16Feyenoord841313
17PSG841313
18Monaco841313
19Brest841313
20Juventus833212
21Celtic833212
22Man City832311
23Sporting Lisbon832311
24Brugge832311
25Dinamo Zagreb832311
26Stuttgart831410
27Shakhtar82157
28Bologna81346
29Red Star82066
30Sturm Graz82066
31Sparta Prague81164
32RB Leipzig81073
33Girona81073
34Salzburg81073
35Slovan Bratislava80080
36Young Boys80080


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