MX23RW : Monday, February 10 13:15:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
Atletico Tucuman

Rosario
3 - 1
Tucuman

Malcorra (36' pen.), Campaz (53'), Giaccone (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Broun (49' og.)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Martin SJ 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, February 1 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-3 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, February 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 41.18%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Tucuman
41.18% (0.201 0.2) 31.16% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.66% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 37.7% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)69.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)86.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (0.119 0.12)33.53% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (0.131 0.13)70.17% (-0.131 -0.13)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.72% (-0.16 -0.16)43.28% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.47% (-0.134 -0.13)79.53% (0.13499999999999 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 41.17%
    Atletico Tucuman 27.66%
    Draw 31.16%
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.17%
0-0 @ 14.51%
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.16%
0-1 @ 12.15% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Rosario
1-0
Tucuman
Gimenez (83')
Quintana (79'), Giaccone (90+4')

de los Santos (90+2')
Jan 26, 2024 12.15am
Gameweek 1
Tucuman
1-1
Rosario
Coronel (78')
Romero (9'), Coronel (60'), Sanchez (80')
Martinez (23')
Rodriguez (4'), Quintana (19'), O'Connor (74')
Aug 20, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Rosario
0-0
Tucuman
Ortiz (41'), Malcorra (60'), Quintana (73')
Carrera (60')
Carrera (70')
Apr 18, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Tucuman
2-2
Rosario
Kociubinski (6'), Pereyra (90')
Quintana (55' pen.), Martinez (72')
Oct 14, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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