Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.