Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 24, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union3 - 0Independiente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union 1-1 Lanus
Saturday, June 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Union 0-1 Independiente
Buoyed by their victory over Sarmiento, Independiente will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to put together a fine run of form. Zielinski's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given Union's current struggles at home, we predict that they will claim all three points at the Estadio 15 de Abril. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.54%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Independiente |
43.07% ( 0.79) | 30.96% ( 0.39) | 25.97% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 37.28% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
