Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Stoke City 1-1 Luton Town
It is difficult to separate the two sides given their performances have improved towards the end of the season. With so much at stake for Stoke and Luton, the clubs are likely to take a cautious approach to Tuesday's match, and that may lead to a game of few chances. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Luton Town |
46.96% ( -2.19) | 25.6% ( -0.13) | 27.44% ( 2.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( 2.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( 2.11) | 51.37% ( -2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( 1.81) | 73.19% ( -1.82) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.09) | 21.87% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.88% ( -0.14) | 55.12% ( 0.14) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( 3.06) | 33.32% ( -3.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.06% ( 3.23) | 69.94% ( -3.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 46.95%
Luton Town 27.44%
Draw 25.59%
| Stoke City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( -1) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.79)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.44% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Luton
Stoke City
51.9%Draw
21.2%Luton Town
26.9%52
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
