Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough0 - 1Leeds
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Middlesbrough
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
61
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
79
We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Leeds United
Both home advantage and momentum are on Middlesbrough's side heading into this crucial contest, so the hosts can claim another three points on Tuesday. Once imperious, Leeds have lost some of their edge in recent weeks, and their in-form opponents can capitalise. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leeds United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Leeds United |
30.86% ( -0.42) | 25.74% ( 0.18) | 43.4% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.89) | 50.24% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -0.8) | 72.19% ( 0.8) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( -0.73) | 30.22% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.89) | 66.39% ( 0.9) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -0.26) | 23.04% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.13% ( -0.39) | 56.87% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 30.86%
Leeds United 43.4%
Draw 25.74%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.86% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.4% |
How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leeds
Middlesbrough
53.8%Draw
17.6%Leeds United
28.6%119
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-4
Leeds
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
3-2
Middlesbrough
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Middlesbrough
0-1
Leeds
