Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Derby
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Derby County 0-1 Burnley
Taking control of proceedings at the top of the table, Burnley will be determined to stay in first spot and extend their unbeaten run to 28 league contests. Winning each of their last three Pride Park battles, Derby are capable at their East Midlands base but should struggle against the Clarets. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Burnley |
27.99% ( -0.14) | 29.55% ( -0.51) | 42.45% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 41.55% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.03% ( 1.44) | 64.97% ( -1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.13% ( 0.99) | 83.87% ( -1) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.68% ( 0.71) | 40.31% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.06% ( 0.64) | 76.93% ( -0.64) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( 1.1) | 30.38% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.42% ( 1.3) | 66.58% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 27.99%
Burnley 42.45%
Draw 29.54%
| Derby County | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.35% Total : 27.99% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.67)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.54% | 0-1 @ 14.59% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.45% |
How you voted: Derby vs Burnley
Derby County
24.3%Draw
8.7%Burnley
67.0%103
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
Jan 25, 2016 7.45pm
Sep 21, 2015 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2014 3pm
Aug 31, 2013 3pm
