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League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Rotherham logo

Bolton
0 - 1
Rotherham


Baxter (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham should not be underestimated for this clash as they have had a couple of wins on the bounce under their interim boss Hamshaw. However, Bolton have performed well at home this season, so we think that they will edge a close match on Tuesday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
52.3% (2.778 2.78) 23.99% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 23.71% (-2.688 -2.69)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-2.468 -2.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-1.962 -1.96)47.68% (1.961 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-1.839 -1.84)69.88% (1.836 1.84)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.325 0.33)18.2% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.55399999999999 0.55)49.21% (-0.556 -0.56)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-3.291 -3.29)34.45% (3.29 3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-3.667 -3.67)71.16% (3.666 3.67)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.3%
    Rotherham United 23.71%
    Draw 23.99%
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.946 0.95)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.895 0.9)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.557 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.258 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.3%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.333 -0.33)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Rotherham

Bolton Wanderers
Draw
Rotherham United
Bolton Wanderers
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
3-1
Bolton
Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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