Genk

3 - 1

Mechelen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.