Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.