Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.