Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba3 - 0Athletico PR
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Santos
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
Result | ||
Cuiaba | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
46.24% ( -0.35) | 27.43% ( -0.09) | 26.34% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 45.99% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.12% ( 0.56) | 58.88% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( 0.43) | 79.37% ( -0.43) |
Cuiaba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( 0.08) | 25.47% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( 0.11) | 60.3% ( -0.11) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% ( 0.69) | 38.3% ( -0.69) |