Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 26, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo4 - 0Avai
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Avai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 0-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Avai had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Avai |
64.34% ( -0.14) | 21.58% ( 0.08) | 14.08% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 44.26% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% ( -0.21) | 51.48% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( -0.18) | 73.28% ( 0.19) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% ( -0.11) | 15.34% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.91% ( -0.22) | 44.09% ( 0.23) |
Avai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.28% ( -0.04) | 47.72% ( 0.05) |