MX23RW : Friday, February 14 19:34:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Claude-Maurice (25', 50')
Giannoulis (42'), Tietz (73'), Gouweleeuw (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malen (4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (71'), Bensebaini (90+4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Augsburg 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

While Sahin will hope that his side can bounce back in convincing fashion against Augsburg, it is difficult to overlook his side's poor defensive record. Additionally, Dortmund have been poor away from home in recent Bundesliga matches, and it would not be surprising if Augsburg managed to earn a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
41.74% (-0.218 -0.22) 22.98% (-0.055 -0.05) 35.28% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 65.06% (0.27499999999999 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.92% (0.332 0.33)36.08% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.82% (0.364 0.36)58.18% (-0.364 -0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.048000000000002 0.05)17.85% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)48.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.28999999999999 0.29)20.8% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.455 0.45)53.46% (-0.456 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 41.74%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.28%
    Draw 22.98%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.28%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
25.2%
Draw
20.4%
Borussia Dortmund
54.4%
103
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
5-1
Augsburg
Moukoko (4', 29'), Malen (20'), Reus (34'), Nmecha (64')
Vargas (32')
Bauer (10')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Demirovic (23')
Gouweleeuw (79'), Gumny (90+4')
Malen (35')
Haller (90+1')
May 21, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
0-3
Dortmund

Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern21173165194654
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21137149272246
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2110653629736
5Stuttgart2110563931835
6Freiburg2110382836-833
7Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach219483331231
9Wolfsburg218674335830
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund218583736129
12Augsburg217682435-1127
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin216692027-724
14St Pauli2163121824-621
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2125141946-2711


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