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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.74% (![]() | 22.98% (![]() | 35.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.92% (![]() | 36.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.82% (![]() | 58.18% (![]() |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% (![]() | 17.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% (![]() | 48.6% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% (![]() | 20.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.53% (![]() | 53.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.66% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 10.04% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 7.89% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 65 | 19 | 46 | 54 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 46 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 39 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 36 |
5 | Stuttgart | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 35 |
6 | Freiburg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 30 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 27 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
14 | St Pauli | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 13 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 46 | -27 | 11 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |