Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
The Match
Match Report
Marco Reus scores the 159th goal of his Borussia Dortmund career to help Edin Terzic's beat RB Leipzig 2-1 and move three points clear at the top of the Bundesliga.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35.66% ( -2.22) | 23.77% ( -0.15) | 40.57% ( 2.37) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
