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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
0 - 2
Dortmund


Tapsoba (28'), Wirtz (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
Adeyemi (34'), Ozcan (60'), Modeste (84'), Ryerson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

This match is undoubtedly the headline fixture of the weekend as far as the Bundesliga is concerned, and it should be a highly entertaining encounter with both teams preferring to play on the front foot. Leverkusen will be determined to maintain their winning run as they look to close the gap on the Champions League qualification places, but we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
38.38% (1.227 1.23) 23.52% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 38.09% (-1.24 -1.24)
Both teams to score 63.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)38.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.77% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.574 0.57)20.36% (-0.571 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.903 0.9)52.76% (-0.901 -0.9)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.598 -0.6)20.5% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (-0.95999999999999 -0.96)52.98% (0.963 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.38%
    Borussia Dortmund 38.09%
    Draw 23.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.155 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.15 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
31.6%
Draw
33.8%
Borussia Dortmund
34.6%
133
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-5
B. Leverkusen
Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')
Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-4
Dortmund
Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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