We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-1 FC Koln
Despite Gladbach picking up in form in recent weeks, it has been against arguably lower calibre opposition.
Koln are a different outfit on their travels compared to their high levels at home, but they will provide a much sterner test for this improving home side, and we can see the two teams cancelling each other out in an even encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.