Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.