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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Bayern logo

Frankfurt
5 - 1
Bayern

Marmoush (12'), Ebimbe (31', 50'), Larsson (36'), Knauff (60')
Marmoush (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kimmich (44')
Min-jae (23'), Sane (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern Munich

Frankfurt's form has fallen off a cliff at the worst possible moment in terms of facing Germany's biggest club and strongest team. Only Freiburg and the bottom eight teams have scored fewer goals than Toppmoller's side in the Bundesliga so far this season, so we can envisage them blanking on Saturday. The same can certainly not be said for Bayern, who are outscoring every other side in Germany once again. Their defensive record of nine goals conceded in 12 games is also the best record, and they will be confident of moving top of the table with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
24.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.14% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)32.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.56% (0.012 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)25.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)60.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.1%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 24.71%
    Bayern Munich 54.27%
    Draw 21.01%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.71%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 4.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-5 @ 1.44%
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.06%
2-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.27%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Bayern

Eintracht Frankfurt
17.3%
Draw
5.8%
Bayern Munich
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-1
Frankfurt
Sane (34')
Kolo (69')
Aug 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Frankfurt
1-6
Bayern
Kolo (64')
N'Dicka (59'), Kostic (71')
Kimmich (5'), Pavard (11'), Mane (29'), Musiala (35', 83'), Gnabry (43')
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Frankfurt
0-1
Bayern

Lenz (32')
Sane (71')
Hernandez (32'), Kimmich (64')
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bayern
1-2
Frankfurt
Goretzka (29')
Davies (50'), Upamecano (77')
Hinteregger (32'), Kostic (83')
Petter Hauge (78')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Frankfurt
2-1
Bayern
Kamada (12'), Younes (31')
Rode (56'), N'Dicka (90+2')
Lewandowski (53')
Flick (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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