MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 06:51:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
1 - 0
Mainz

Gotze (72')
Pacho (24'), Nkounkou (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Widmer (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05

Frankfurt's slip-up last weekend shows they may find it tougher to retain a spot in Europe again this season and could find it difficult despite coming into the game as favourites. Mainz have been very difficult to beat since Siewert took over, and while they do need to start winning games soon, another draw here would be a good result for Die Nullfunfer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
43.9% (0.13 0.13) 25.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 31.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)69.45% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.045999999999992 0.05)21.52% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)54.58% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)28.58% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.126 -0.13)64.38% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 43.9%
    Mainz 05 31.05%
    Draw 25.05%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.05%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt
76.6%
Draw
17.0%
Mainz 05
6.4%
141
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Jae-sung (25')
Fernandes (55'), Kohr (75'), van den Berg (86')
Marmoush (90+1')
Koch (32'), Toppmoller (33'), Knauff (49'), Marmoush (90+2'), Svensson (90+6')
Knauff (61')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Frankfurt
3-0
Mainz
Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')
Tuta (30')

Bell (22'), Hanche-Olsen (38'), Shabani (88')
Nov 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Burkardt (40')
Kolo (67')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Mainz
2-2
Frankfurt
Ingvartsen (10', 49')
Caricol (51'), Bell (56')
Tuta (26'), Borre (35')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Frankfurt
1-0
Mainz
Lindstrom (35')

Caricol (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!