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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13% ( 0.08) | 15.49% ( 0.02) | 71.51% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 63.44% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.58% ( 0.13) | 25.42% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.53% ( 0.17) | 45.47% ( -0.17) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.72% ( 0.2) | 32.28% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.22% ( 0.23) | 68.78% ( -0.23) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.68% ( 0.02) | 6.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.24% ( 0.04) | 23.76% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 13% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.49% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 8.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.35% Total : 71.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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