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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
32.72% ( 0.22) | 25.27% ( -0.09) | 42.01% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% ( 0.45) | 47.57% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( 0.41) | 69.78% ( -0.41) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 0.36) | 27.67% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 0.46) | 63.22% ( -0.46) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( 0.13) | 22.56% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( 0.2) | 56.15% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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