MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 19:41:45| >> :600:407976:407976:
Malmo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm
Union Berlin logo

Malmo
0 - 1
Union Berlin


Rakip (42'), Beijmo (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Becker (68')
Haberer (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 0-0 Hammarby
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 0-2 Union Berlin

Both teams need to win this match to stand a realistic chance of progressing to the knockout stages, and we can envisage an entertaining match as a result. However, there is little doubt that the visitors possess greater individual quality, which should help them record the first victory of their European campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
MalmoDrawUnion Berlin
33.02% (-0.189 -0.19) 25.45% (-0.061 -0.06) 41.53% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.48% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (0.217 0.22)48.3% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (0.2 0.2)70.45% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.44% (0.012 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.218 0.22)23.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (0.32 0.32)56.96% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 33.02%
    Union Berlin 41.53%
    Draw 25.45%
MalmoDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.02%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.53%

How you voted: Malmo vs Union Berlin

Malmo
18.1%
Draw
12.3%
Union Berlin
69.6%
171
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!